SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
FC 08 Homburg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC 08 Homburg to win ✗66% · @1.64
Double chanceFC 08 Homburg or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.83
SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga SudWest sees SSV Ulm 1846 take on FC 08 Homburg on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Donaustadion. SSV Ulm 1846 are 17th with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while FC 08 Homburg sit 7th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SSV Ulm 1846's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with FSV Mainz 05 II 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC 08 Homburg's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Freiburg II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC 08 Homburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for SSV Ulm 1846 and 2.1 for FC 08 Homburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was FC 08 Homburg to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 FC 08 Homburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SSV Ulm 184615%fair 6.82 · @4.04
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.95
FC 08 Homburg66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
2.97Expected goals
0.87SSV Ulm 1846 xG
2.10FC 08 Homburg xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: SSV Ulm 1846 0.9 – 2.1 FC 08 Homburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC 08 Homburg to win✗
66%
1.51
1.64 ▲
Double chance
FC 08 Homburg or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.58
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Half-time result
FC 08 Homburg ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC 08 Homburg / FT FC 08 Homburg✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
SSV Ulm 1846 – last 6
DWDLDL
17 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05 II
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt II
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Eintracht Trier
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ SV Sandhausen
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs FSV Frankfurt
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC 08 Homburg – last 6
WDDLDW
18 Oct
vs Freiburg II
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Kickers Offenbach
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ TSV Steinbach
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSV Ulm 1846 and FC 08 Homburg.
What is the prediction for SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
Our pick is FC 08 Homburg to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
On our numbers SSV Ulm 1846 have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC 08 Homburg 66%.
How many goals will there be in SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
Our predicted score is SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 FC 08 Homburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg?
SSV Ulm 1846 vs FC 08 Homburg (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Donaustadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
