FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
2
Value bet: SSV Ulm 1846 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSSV Ulm 1846 to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 preview and prediction
The match
FSV Mainz 05 II host SSV Ulm 1846 in the Regionalliga SudWest on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). FSV Mainz 05 II are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05 II's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with FC Astoria Walldorf 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
SSV Ulm 1846's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Eintracht Frankfurt II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.6 for SSV Ulm 1846. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: SSV Ulm 1846 to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: FSV Mainz 05 II 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FSV Mainz 05 II36%fair 2.75 · @2.22
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.65
SSV Ulm 184645%fair 2.25 · @2.50
3.04Expected goals
1.43FSV Mainz 05 II xG
1.61SSV Ulm 1846 xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 II 1.4 – 1.6 SSV Ulm 1846 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SSV Ulm 1846 to win✗
45%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.52
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.41
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SSV Ulm 1846 / FT SSV Ulm 1846✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
FSV Mainz 05 II – last 6
DLWLLL
10 Oct
@ FC Astoria Walldorf
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Freiburg II
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ Hessen Kassel
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Kaiserslautern II
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ SGV Freiberg
0–5
L
9 Sep
vs VfR Mannheim
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SSV Ulm 1846 – last 6
WDLDLL
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt II
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Eintracht Trier
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ SV Sandhausen
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs FSV Frankfurt
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ VfR Aalen
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 II and SSV Ulm 1846.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and SSV Ulm 1846 45%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 II 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846?
FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
