FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
FC 08 Homburg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC 08 Homburg to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.69
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II preview and prediction
The match
Freiburg II travel to face FC 08 Homburg in the Regionalliga SudWest on Sunday 18 October (13:00 WAT). FC 08 Homburg are 7th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Freiburg II sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC 08 Homburg's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Kickers Offenbach 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Freiburg II's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to SGV Freiberg 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for FC 08 Homburg and 1.0 for Freiburg II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC 08 Homburg 63%, draw 16%, Freiburg II 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC 08 Homburg to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC 08 Homburg 1–0 Freiburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC 08 Homburg63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @3.80
Freiburg II21%fair 4.76 · @2.90
2.95Expected goals
1.97FC 08 Homburg xG
0.98Freiburg II xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC 08 Homburg 2.0 – 1.0 Freiburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC 08 Homburg to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FC 08 Homburg ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC 08 Homburg / FT FC 08 Homburg✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.69
–
Form
FC 08 Homburg – last 6
DDLDWW
9 Oct
@ Kickers Offenbach
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ TSV Steinbach
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Hessen Kassel
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt II
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Kaiserslautern II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Freiburg II – last 6
LWWLDW
11 Oct
vs SGV Freiberg
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ FSV Mainz 05 II
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
3–2
W
11 Sep
vs SV Sandhausen
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Eintracht Trier
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs TSV Steinbach
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC 08 Homburg and Freiburg II.
What is the prediction for FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Our pick is FC 08 Homburg to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
On our numbers FC 08 Homburg have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Freiburg II 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
Our predicted score is FC 08 Homburg 1–0 Freiburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
