BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓61% · @1.58
Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Nordost sees BSG Chemie Leipzig take on FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Greifswalder FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat SV Babelsberg 03 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–2 BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 2.3 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig16%fair 6.30 · @4.39
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.05
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt61%fair 1.63 · @1.58
3.41Expected goals
1.13BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
2.28FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 – 2.3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 61%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.