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BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓61% · @1.58
Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt preview and prediction

The match

The Regionalliga Nordost sees BSG Chemie Leipzig take on FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Greifswalder FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat SV Babelsberg 03 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–2 BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 2.3 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

BSG Chemie Leipzig16%fair 6.30 · @4.39
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.05
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt61%fair 1.63 · @1.58
3.41Expected goals
1.13BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
2.28FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 – 2.3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓61%1.631.58
Double chanceFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw ✓84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.791.63
Half-time resultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.30–

Form

BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6

DWDLWL
1 Nov@ Greifswalder FC1–1D
25 Octvs Hertha BSC II2–0W
17 Oct@ Lokomotive Leipzig2–2D
9 Octvs Luckenwalde1–3L
27 Sep@ Erzgebirge Aue2–1W
20 Sepvs Chemnitzer FC1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 6

WWDLWD
1 Novvs SV Babelsberg 034–1W
24 Oct@ Greifswalder FC3–2W
16 Octvs FSV Zwickau2–2D
11 Oct@ Chemnitzer FC1–3L
26 Sep@ Lokomotive Leipzig4–3W
19 Sepvs Erzgebirge Aue2–2D
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt v BSG Chemie Leipzig2–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt head-to-head page →

Regionalliga Nordost table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt161141+2937
2Chemnitzer FC161033+1833
3BFC Dynamo16952+1232
4Hallescher FC16871+1131
5Altglienicke16934+1230
6Erzgebirge Aue16934+730
7FC Carl Zeiss Jena16835+1027
8Greifswalder FC16754+926
9Lokomotive Leipzig16664+324
10Magdeburg II16637-121
11FSV Zwickau16547-919
12SV Babelsberg 0316448-1216
13BFC Preussen16367-315
14BSG Chemie Leipzig16358-714
15Hertha BSC II16268-1512
16Tasmania Berlin163211-2411
17RSV Eintracht162311-209
18Luckenwalde162212-208

More Regionalliga Nordost predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 61%.

How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.