Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Nordost sees Erzgebirge Aue take on FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Erzgebirgsstadion. Erzgebirge Aue are 6th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Erzgebirge Aue's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat FSV Zwickau 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Carl Zeiss Jena's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with BFC Dynamo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Carl Zeiss Jena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.5 for FC Carl Zeiss Jena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzgebirge Aue 35%, draw 20%, FC Carl Zeiss Jena 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.59.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzgebirge Aue35%fair 2.83 · @2.49
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.51
FC Carl Zeiss Jena45%fair 2.25 · @2.29
2.77Expected goals
1.28Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.48FC Carl Zeiss Jena xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.3 – 1.5 FC Carl Zeiss Jena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Carl Zeiss Jena to win✗
45%
2.25
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.59
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Carl Zeiss Jena / FT FC Carl Zeiss Jena✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Erzgebirge Aue – last 6
WLLLDW
24 Oct
@ FSV Zwickau
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Hallescher FC
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Greifswalder FC
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Magdeburg II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Carl Zeiss Jena – last 6
DWWWLL
23 Oct
vs BFC Dynamo
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Luckenwalde
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Magdeburg II
2–1
W
25 Sep
@ Tasmania Berlin
5–1
W
20 Sep
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Hallescher FC
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and FC Carl Zeiss Jena.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Carl Zeiss Jena 45%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
