Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win @ 1.92 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓59% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt preview and prediction
The match
Greifswalder FC host FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt in the Regionalliga Nordost on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Greifswalder FC are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Greifswalder FC's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Magdeburg II 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with FSV Zwickau 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.4 for Greifswalder FC and 2.2 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Greifswalder FC 24%, draw 17%, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Value angle: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win at 1.92 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greifswalder FC24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.92
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt59%fair 1.70 · @1.92
3.59Expected goals
1.36Greifswalder FC xG
2.23FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Greifswalder FC 1.4 – 2.2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
On our numbers Greifswalder FC have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 59%.
How many goals will there be in Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Our predicted score is Greifswalder FC 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
