BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
BSG Chemie Leipzig to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBSG Chemie Leipzig to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde preview and prediction
The match
BSG Chemie Leipzig host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga Nordost on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Luckenwalde sit 18th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Luckenwalde's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Magdeburg II 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
BSG Chemie Leipzig arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–0 Luckenwalde.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 1.2 for Luckenwalde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was BSG Chemie Leipzig to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 2–1 Luckenwalde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig64%fair 1.56 · @1.83
Draw14%fair 7.34 · @4.25
Luckenwalde22%fair 4.46 · @3.04
3.38Expected goals
2.21BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.17Luckenwalde xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 2.2 – 1.2 Luckenwalde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Our pick is BSG Chemie Leipzig to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Luckenwalde 22%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 2–1 Luckenwalde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
