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Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.52Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt preview and prediction

The match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt travel to face Lokomotive Leipzig in the Regionalliga Nordost on Saturday 26 September (13:00 WAT). Lokomotive Leipzig are 9th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Lokomotive Leipzig's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Erzgebirge Aue 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Lokomotive Leipzig 2–1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.8 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Lokomotive Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lokomotive Leipzig37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.52
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt41%fair 2.43 · @2.28
3.53Expected goals
1.71Lokomotive Leipzig xG
1.82FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Lokomotive Leipzig 1.7 – 1.8 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win ✓41%2.432.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.771.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.06–

Form

Lokomotive Leipzig – last 6

WDDLLW
20 Sep@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena2–1W
16 Sepvs BFC Dynamo2–2D
13 Sep@ Greifswalder FC3–3D
30 Augvs Erzgebirge Aue1–2L
25 Augvs Chemnitzer FC0–2L
16 Aug@ Tasmania Berlin3–2W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 6

DWWDWW
19 Sepvs Erzgebirge Aue2–2D
15 Sep@ Hertha BSC II2–1W
11 Sepvs RSV Eintracht5–0W
29 Augvs BFC Preussen1–1D
25 Aug@ Luckenwalde5–0W
15 Augvs Magdeburg II4–1W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Lokomotive Leipzig v FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt head-to-head page →

Regionalliga Nordost table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt161141+2937
2Chemnitzer FC161033+1833
3BFC Dynamo16952+1232
4Hallescher FC16871+1131
5Altglienicke16934+1230
6Erzgebirge Aue16934+730
7FC Carl Zeiss Jena16835+1027
8Greifswalder FC16754+926
9Lokomotive Leipzig16664+324
10Magdeburg II16637-121
11FSV Zwickau16547-919
12SV Babelsberg 0316448-1216
13BFC Preussen16367-315
14BSG Chemie Leipzig16358-714
15Hertha BSC II16268-1512
16Tasmania Berlin163211-2411
17RSV Eintracht162311-209
18Luckenwalde162212-208

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

On our numbers Lokomotive Leipzig have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 41%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Our predicted score is Lokomotive Leipzig 1–2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.