BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC preview and prediction
The match
BSG Chemie Leipzig host Chemnitzer FC in the Regionalliga Nordost on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Tasmania Berlin 5–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chemnitzer FC's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to SV Babelsberg 03 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chemnitzer FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished BSG Chemie Leipzig 2–1 Chemnitzer FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 1.6 for Chemnitzer FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Chemnitzer FC to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 Chemnitzer FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
Chemnitzer FC56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
2.44Expected goals
0.88BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.56Chemnitzer FC xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 0.9 – 1.6 Chemnitzer FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our pick is Chemnitzer FC to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chemnitzer FC 56%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 Chemnitzer FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
