Value bet: FSV Zwickau to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFSV Zwickau to win ✗50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.49
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau preview and prediction
The match
FSV Zwickau travel to face BSG Chemie Leipzig in the Regionalliga Nordost on Saturday 12 September (13:30 WAT). BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while FSV Zwickau sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Altglienicke 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
FSV Zwickau's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat SV Babelsberg 03 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FSV Zwickau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 1.4 for FSV Zwickau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: FSV Zwickau to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 FSV Zwickau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig29%fair 3.43 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
FSV Zwickau50%fair 2.01 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
0.96BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.38FSV Zwickau xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.0 – 1.4 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Zwickau to win✗
50%
2.01
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Zwickau / FT FSV Zwickau✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.49
–
Form
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6
DLLDLL
28 Aug
@ Altglienicke
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Magdeburg II
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ RSV Eintracht
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Hallescher FC
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ BFC Dynamo
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FSV Zwickau – last 6
WWWDLL
29 Aug
vs SV Babelsberg 03
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ RSV Eintracht
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Luckenwalde
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ BFC Dynamo
0–0
D
4 Aug
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Greifswalder FC
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BSG Chemie Leipzig and FSV Zwickau.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FSV Zwickau 50%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
