Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfB Lübeck to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II preview and prediction
The match
St. Pauli II travel to face VfB Lübeck in the Regionalliga Nord on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT). VfB Lübeck are 9th with 19 points from 16 games (in the top half), while St. Pauli II sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
VfB Lübeck's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat SSV Jeddeloh 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
St. Pauli II's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to HSC Hannover 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
VfB Lübeck arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.9 for VfB Lübeck and 1.6 for St. Pauli II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VfB Lübeck 47%, draw 20%, St. Pauli II 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: VfB Lübeck 1–1 St. Pauli II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfB Lübeck47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
St. Pauli II33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
3.44Expected goals
1.89VfB Lübeck xG
1.55St. Pauli II xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: VfB Lübeck 1.9 – 1.6 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Lübeck to win✓
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Lübeck / FT VfB Lübeck✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Form
VfB Lübeck – last 6
WDWWDD
12 Oct
@ SSV Jeddeloh
2–1
W
2 Oct
vs Eimsbütteler TV
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Todesfelde
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Bremer SV
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs HSC Hannover
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Pauli II – last 6
LLLWWL
11 Oct
vs HSC Hannover
3–4
L
26 Sep
vs Kickers Emden
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Hamburger SV II
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Eintracht Norderstedt
5–0
W
4 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Lübeck and St. Pauli II.
What is the prediction for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers VfB Lübeck have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Pauli II 33%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is VfB Lübeck 1–1 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
