St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
St. Pauli II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: St. Pauli II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Pauli II to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceSt. Pauli II or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover preview and prediction
The match
HSC Hannover travel to face St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga Nord on Sunday 11 October (13:00 WAT). St. Pauli II are 17th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while HSC Hannover sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
St. Pauli II's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Kickers Emden 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
HSC Hannover's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Schöningen 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished St. Pauli II 3–2 HSC Hannover.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for St. Pauli II and 1.2 for HSC Hannover. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Pauli II 62%, draw 24%, HSC Hannover 14%.
Safer route: St. Pauli II or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Value angle: St. Pauli II to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Pauli II or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Pauli II 2–1 HSC Hannover. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Pauli II62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
HSC Hannover14%fair 7.30 · @3.60
3.65Expected goals
2.46St. Pauli II xG
1.19HSC Hannover xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: St. Pauli II 2.5 – 1.2 HSC Hannover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
Our pick is St. Pauli II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and HSC Hannover 14%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 2–1 HSC Hannover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover?
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
