Value bet: St. Pauli II to win @ 2.83 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Pauli II to win ✗41% · @2.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.37
St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden preview and prediction
The match
Kickers Emden travel to face St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga Nord on Saturday 26 September (13:00 WAT). St. Pauli II are 17th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Kickers Emden sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
St. Pauli II's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to SV DrochtersenAssel 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Kickers Emden's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Schöningen 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Kickers Emden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.2 for St. Pauli II and 2.1 for Kickers Emden. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Pauli II 41%, draw 21%, Kickers Emden 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.30.
Value angle: St. Pauli II to win at 2.83 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: St. Pauli II 2–2 Kickers Emden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Pauli II41%fair 2.42 · @2.83
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.86
Kickers Emden38%fair 2.63 · @1.96
4.26Expected goals
2.18St. Pauli II xG
2.09Kickers Emden xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: St. Pauli II 2.2 – 2.1 Kickers Emden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Pauli II to win✗
41%
2.42
2.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.29
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Half-time result
St. Pauli II ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Pauli II / FT St. Pauli II✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.37
–
Form
St. Pauli II – last 6
LWWLDL
19 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Hamburger SV II
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Eintracht Norderstedt
5–0
W
4 Sep
@ Hannover 96 II
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Phönix Lübeck
2–2
D
26 Aug
@ Schöningen
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kickers Emden – last 6
WLWWDD
19 Sep
vs Schöningen
5–0
W
15 Sep
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
2–8
L
12 Sep
vs SSV Jeddeloh
4–1
W
6 Sep
@ Bremer SV
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs Hannover 96 II
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Atlas Delmenhorst
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Pauli II and Kickers Emden.
What is the prediction for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
On our numbers St. Pauli II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kickers Emden 38%.
How many goals will there be in St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
Our predicted score is St. Pauli II 2–2 Kickers Emden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
