Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II preview and prediction
The match
Hamburger SV II host St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga Nord on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Hamburger SV II are 10th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while St. Pauli II sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hamburger SV II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Weiche Flensburg 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St. Pauli II's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Eintracht Norderstedt 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished St. Pauli II 1–1 Hamburger SV II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.1 for Hamburger SV II and 1.9 for St. Pauli II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamburger SV II 42%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Hamburger SV II 2–1 St. Pauli II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamburger SV II42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
St. Pauli II35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
4.06Expected goals
2.13Hamburger SV II xG
1.93St. Pauli II xG
70%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV II 2.1 – 1.9 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers Hamburger SV II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St. Pauli II 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV II 2–1 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II?
Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
