Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMemmingen to win ✓67% · @1.39
Double chanceMemmingen or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Eltersdorf vs Memmingen preview and prediction
The match
Memmingen travel to face Eltersdorf in the Regionalliga Bayern on Friday 23 October (18:00 WAT). Eltersdorf are 15th with 18 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Memmingen sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Eltersdorf's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Landsberg 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Memmingen's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Nürnberg II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Memmingen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Eltersdorf and 1.8 for Memmingen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.04 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Eltersdorf 0–1 Memmingen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eltersdorf15%fair 6.65 · @6.69
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @4.14
Memmingen67%fair 1.48 · @1.39
2.47Expected goals
0.66Eltersdorf xG
1.82Memmingen xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Eltersdorf 0.7 – 1.8 Memmingen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Memmingen to win✓
67%
1.48
1.39
Double chance
Memmingen or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.04 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Memmingen ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Memmingen / FT Memmingen✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.53
–
Form
Eltersdorf – last 6
DDDWLL
17 Oct
@ Landsberg
1–1
D
13 Oct
vs Wacker Burghausen
2–2
D
9 Oct
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ Buchbach
2–0
W
25 Sep
vs Bayreuth
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Ansbach
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Memmingen – last 6
LWWWLW
17 Oct
vs Nürnberg II
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ Greuther Fürth II
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Eichstätt
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Aubstadt
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Buchbach
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Illertissen
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eltersdorf and Memmingen.
What is the prediction for Eltersdorf vs Memmingen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Memmingen?
On our numbers Eltersdorf have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Memmingen 67%.
How many goals will there be in Eltersdorf vs Memmingen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eltersdorf vs Memmingen?
Our predicted score is Eltersdorf 0–1 Memmingen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eltersdorf vs Memmingen?
Eltersdorf vs Memmingen (Regionalliga Bayern) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
