Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManagua to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Matagalpa vs Managua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Matagalpa take on Managua on Monday 10 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Matagalpa are 10th with 10 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Managua sit 1st on 41 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Matagalpa's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Walter Ferretti 1–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Managua's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat San Marcos 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Managua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Managua 2–4 Matagalpa. Across their last 3 meetings Matagalpa have won 1, Managua 1, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Matagalpa and 2.2 for Managua. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Matagalpa 1–2 Managua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matagalpa14%fair 6.97 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
Managua62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
3.20Expected goals
1.01Matagalpa xG
2.19Managua xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Matagalpa 1.0 – 2.2 Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Matagalpa vs Managua?
On our numbers Matagalpa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Managua 62%.
How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Managua?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matagalpa vs Managua?
Our predicted score is Matagalpa 1–2 Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Matagalpa vs Managua?
Matagalpa vs Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
