Wednesday, 11 November 2026 14 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Primera Division · Nicaragua
2–1
FT

Diriangén vs Rancho Santana prediction & analysis

59%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.83Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDiriangén to win ✓76% · @1.09
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78

Diriangén vs Rancho Santana preview and prediction

The match

Rancho Santana travel to face Diriangén in the Primera Division on Sunday 9 August (01:00 WAT). Diriangén are 2nd with 36 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Rancho Santana sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Diriangén's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to LD Alajuelense 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Rancho Santana's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to H&H Export 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Diriangén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Diriangén 5–1 Rancho Santana.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.4 for Diriangén and 0.6 for Rancho Santana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Diriangén 2–0 Rancho Santana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Diriangén76%fair 1.32 · @1.09
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @7.40
Rancho Santana6%fair 17.10 · @23.00
2.94Expected goals
2.36Diriangén xG
0.58Rancho Santana xG
48%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–012%
3–012%
2–19%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Diriangén 2.4 – 0.6 Rancho Santana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDiriangén to win ✓76%1.321.09
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓94%1.06–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.711.83 ▲
Half-time resultDiriangén ahead at half-time ✗56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Diriangén / FT Diriangén ✗53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.78–

Form

Diriangén – last 6

LDWDDL
5 Augvs LD Alajuelense1–3L
1 Augvs UNAN Managua1–1D
29 Julvs Plaza Amador4–2W
18 Julvs San Marcos1–1D
12 Jul@ H&H Export1–1D
5 Julvs H&H Export1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rancho Santana – last 6

LLLLLW
2 Augvs H&H Export0–1L
28 Jul@ UNAN Managua0–2L
19 Jul@ Managua1–2L
12 Jul@ Managua0–2L
6 Julvs Managua2–3L
15 Apr@ UNAN Managua2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Diriangén v Rancho Santana5–1
Diriangén vs Rancho Santana head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Diriangén vs Rancho Santana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Diriangén vs Rancho Santana?

On our numbers Diriangén have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rancho Santana 6%.

How many goals will there be in Diriangén vs Rancho Santana?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Diriangén vs Rancho Santana?

Our predicted score is Diriangén 2–0 Rancho Santana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Diriangén vs Rancho Santana?

Diriangén vs Rancho Santana (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.