Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Managua to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultManagua to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Managua vs Jalapa preview and prediction
The match
Jalapa travel to face Managua in the Primera Division on Sunday 26 July (01:00 WAT). Managua are 1st with 41 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Jalapa sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Managua's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Rancho Santana 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Jalapa's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Walter Ferretti 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Managua 1–0 Jalapa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Managua and 0.7 for Jalapa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Managua 62%, draw 21%, Jalapa 17%.
Safer route: Managua or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Managua to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Managua or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Managua 1–0 Jalapa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Managua62%fair 1.62 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Jalapa17%fair 5.80 · @3.75
2.41Expected goals
1.68Managua xG
0.73Jalapa xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Managua 1.7 – 0.7 Jalapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Managua or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Managua vs Jalapa?
On our numbers Managua have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jalapa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs Jalapa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Managua vs Jalapa?
Our predicted score is Managua 1–0 Jalapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Managua vs Jalapa?
Managua vs Jalapa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
