Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 preview and prediction
The match
İstanbulspor host Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). İstanbulspor are 19th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Mardin 1969 sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
İstanbulspor's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Ağrı 1970 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mardin 1969's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Manisa F.K. 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mardin 1969 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for İstanbulspor and 1.9 for Mardin 1969. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: İstanbulspor 17%, draw 21%, Mardin 1969 62%.
Safer route: Mardin 1969 or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Mardin 1969 to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mardin 1969 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: İstanbulspor 0–1 Mardin 1969. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
İstanbulspor17%fair 5.75 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Mardin 196962%fair 1.62 · @1.95
2.79Expected goals
0.88İstanbulspor xG
1.91Mardin 1969 xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: İstanbulspor 0.9 – 1.9 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✓
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Mardin 1969 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.14
–
Form
İstanbulspor – last 6
WLLLLW
27 Oct
@ Ağrı 1970
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Muğlaspor
0–5
L
18 Oct
vs Antalyaspor
0–2
L
14 Oct
@ Batman Petrolspor
2–4
L
10 Oct
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Manisa F.K.
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
WLWWLL
26 Oct
vs Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–4
L
15 Oct
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Bursaspor
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mardin 1969 62%.
How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 0–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969?
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
