Value bet: Ümraniyespor to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVanspor FK to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.44
Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Vanspor FK take on Ümraniyespor on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu. Vanspor FK are 14th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ümraniyespor sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vanspor FK's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Pendikspor 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ümraniyespor's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Sarıyer 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Ümraniyespor 1–2 Vanspor FK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Vanspor FK and 1.2 for Ümraniyespor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vanspor FK 39%, draw 24%, Ümraniyespor 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ümraniyespor to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Vanspor FK 1–1 Ümraniyespor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vanspor FK39%fair 2.57 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Ümraniyespor37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.47Expected goals
1.25Vanspor FK xG
1.22Ümraniyespor xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vanspor FK 1.3 – 1.2 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Vanspor FK have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ümraniyespor 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Vanspor FK 1–1 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor?
Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
