Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Keçiörengücü to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceKeçiörengücü or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK preview and prediction
The match
Keçiörengücü host Iğdır FK in the 1. Lig on Wednesday 14 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Aktepe Stadium. Keçiörengücü are 6th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Iğdır FK sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Keçiörengücü's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Bodrum FK 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Iğdır FK's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Batman Petrolspor 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Iğdır FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Iğdır FK 0–1 Keçiörengücü.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Keçiörengücü and 0.9 for Iğdır FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Keçiörengücü 60%, draw 26%, Iğdır FK 14%.
Safer route: Keçiörengücü or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Keçiörengücü to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Keçiörengücü or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Keçiörengücü 1–0 Iğdır FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keçiörengücü60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Iğdır FK14%fair 7.04 · @3.50
2.83Expected goals
1.94Keçiörengücü xG
0.89Iğdır FK xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.9 – 0.9 Iğdır FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Our pick is Keçiörengücü or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iğdır FK 14%.
How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–0 Iğdır FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK?
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
