İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Esenler Erokspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Esenler Erokspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEsenler Erokspor or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.29
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees İstanbulspor take on Esenler Erokspor on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). İstanbulspor are 19th with 8 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Esenler Erokspor sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
İstanbulspor's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Manisa F.K. 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Fatih Karagümrük 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished İstanbulspor 1–4 Erokspor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for İstanbulspor and 1.7 for Esenler Erokspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Esenler Erokspor or draw (80%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Esenler Erokspor to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Esenler Erokspor or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: İstanbulspor 0–1 Esenler Erokspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
İstanbulspor20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Esenler Erokspor59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.50Expected goals
0.83İstanbulspor xG
1.67Esenler Erokspor xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: İstanbulspor 0.8 – 1.7 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our pick is Esenler Erokspor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
On our numbers İstanbulspor have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Esenler Erokspor 59%.
How many goals will there be in İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our predicted score is İstanbulspor 0–1 Esenler Erokspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
İstanbulspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
