Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKayserispor to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.48
Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor preview and prediction
The match
Kayserispor travel to 21 Kasım Stadium in the 1. Lig on Sunday 20 September (18:00 WAT) to face Mardin 1969. Mardin 1969 are 4th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Kayserispor sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Mardin 1969's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Iğdır FK 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kayserispor's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat İstanbulspor 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Mardin 1969 and 1.1 for Kayserispor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mardin 1969 34%, draw 25%, Kayserispor 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kayserispor to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Mardin 1969 1–1 Kayserispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mardin 196934%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Kayserispor41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.14Expected goals
1.00Mardin 1969 xG
1.14Kayserispor xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 1.0 – 1.1 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✓
41%
2.45
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.48
–
Form
Mardin 1969 – last 6
LWDDWW
13 Sep
@ Iğdır FK
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Bodrum FK
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
WWDLWW
14 Sep
vs İstanbulspor
4–0
W
7 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
3–0
W
2 Sep
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sivasspor
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kayserispor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor?
Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 21 Kasım Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
