Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük preview and prediction
The match
Fatih Karagümrük travel to Esenler Stadium in the 1. Lig on Saturday 19 September (18:00 WAT) to face Esenler Erokspor. Esenler Erokspor are 10th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fatih Karagümrük sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Bursaspor 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Manisa F.K. 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fatih Karagümrük arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Esenler Erokspor and 1.1 for Fatih Karagümrük. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esenler Erokspor 40%, draw 24%, Fatih Karagümrük 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esenler Erokspor40%fair 2.50 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Fatih Karagümrük36%fair 2.77 · @3.30
2.36Expected goals
1.22Esenler Erokspor xG
1.14Fatih Karagümrük xG
58%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.2 – 1.1 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✗
40%
2.50
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esenler Erokspor / FT Esenler Erokspor✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
DLDLDD
13 Sep
@ Bursaspor
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Kayserispor
0–3
L
3 Sep
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Sarıyer
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
DLDDWW
13 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
2 Sep
vs Kayserispor
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ İstanbulspor
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Bursaspor
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fatih Karagümrük 36%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
