Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pendikspor to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPendikspor to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chancePendikspor or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor preview and prediction
The match
Pendikspor host Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Pendik Stadium. Pendikspor are 16th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ümraniyespor sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pendikspor's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Sarıyer 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Ümraniyespor's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Muğlaspor 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Pendikspor and 0.9 for Ümraniyespor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Pendikspor to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pendikspor or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pendikspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pendikspor63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.50
Ümraniyespor18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
2.80Expected goals
1.91Pendikspor xG
0.89Ümraniyespor xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pendikspor 1.9 – 0.9 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pendikspor to win✓
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Pendikspor or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Pendikspor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pendikspor / FT Pendikspor✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Pendikspor – last 6
LDWLDL
1 Sep
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Antalyaspor
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Keçiörengücü
1–4
L
10 Aug
vs Batman Petrolspor
2–2
D
7 May
@ Bodrum FK
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ümraniyespor – last 6
LDDLDL
1 Sep
vs Muğlaspor
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Keçiörengücü
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Mardin 1969
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Galatasaray
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor.
What is the prediction for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Pendikspor or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Pendikspor have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ümraniyespor 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Pendikspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Pendik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
