Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Muğlaspor to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMuğlaspor to win ✓38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.01
Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Ümraniyespor take on Muğlaspor on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi. Ümraniyespor are 12th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Muğlaspor sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ümraniyespor's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Keçiörengücü 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Muğlaspor's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Boluspor 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Muğlaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Ümraniyespor and 1.0 for Muğlaspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Muğlaspor to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ümraniyespor 0–0 Muğlaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ümraniyespor36%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Muğlaspor38%fair 2.64 · @2.85
1.92Expected goals
0.95Ümraniyespor xG
0.97Muğlaspor xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 0.9 – 1.0 Muğlaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muğlaspor to win✓
38%
2.64
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.01
–
Form
Ümraniyespor – last 6
DDLDLL
28 Aug
@ Keçiörengücü
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Mardin 1969
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Galatasaray
1–5
L
19 Apr
vs Vanspor FK
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Muğlaspor – last 6
WDDLDW
28 Aug
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Bandırmaspor
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Sarıyer
0–2
L
4 May
vs Şanlıurfaspor
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Şanlıurfaspor
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Muğlaspor.
What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?
On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Muğlaspor 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?
Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 0–0 Muğlaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor?
Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
