Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 47% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✗47% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Sivasspor take on Mardin 1969 on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu. Sivasspor are 18th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Mardin 1969 sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sivasspor's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Batman Petrolspor 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Mardin 1969's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Vanspor FK 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mardin 1969 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Sivasspor and 1.3 for Mardin 1969. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sivasspor 31%, draw 22%, Mardin 1969 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Mardin 1969 to win at 2.75 – 47% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sivasspor 0–1 Mardin 1969. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sivasspor31%fair 3.18 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Mardin 196947%fair 2.14 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
0.97Sivasspor xG
1.28Mardin 1969 xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.0 – 1.3 Mardin 1969 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✗
47%
2.14
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.40
–
Form
Sivasspor – last 6
LDLDWL
29 Aug
@ Batman Petrolspor
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Manisa F.K.
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Kayserispor
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Iğdır FK
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Çorum FK
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mardin 1969 – last 6
DWWDDW
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Güzide Gebzespor
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Mardin 1969.
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mardin 1969 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 0–1 Mardin 1969, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969?
Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 (1. Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
