Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceKeçiörengücü or draw ✓81% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Lig sees Keçiörengücü take on Ümraniyespor on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Aktepe Stadium. Keçiörengücü are 6th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ümraniyespor sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Keçiörengücü's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Bandırmaspor 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ümraniyespor's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Esenler Erokspor 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Keçiörengücü arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Keçiörengücü and 1.0 for Ümraniyespor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Keçiörengücü 1–1 Ümraniyespor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keçiörengücü60%fair 1.67 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.65
Ümraniyespor19%fair 5.33 · @5.40
2.89Expected goals
1.92Keçiörengücü xG
0.97Ümraniyespor xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.9 – 1.0 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keçiörengücü to win✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Double chance
Keçiörengücü or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Half-time result
Keçiörengücü ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.34
–
Form
Keçiörengücü – last 6
DWLLWL
23 Aug
@ Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Pendikspor
4–1
W
8 Aug
@ Antalyaspor
3–4
L
7 May
@ Çorum FK
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Manisa F.K.
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ümraniyespor – last 6
DLDLLD
22 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Mardin 1969
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Galatasaray
1–5
L
19 Apr
vs Vanspor FK
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Amed
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keçiörengücü and Ümraniyespor.
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ümraniyespor 19%.
How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–1 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor?
Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
