Value bet: Sivasspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSivasspor to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. preview and prediction
The match
Manisa F.K. travel to face Sivasspor in the 1. Lig on Monday 24 August (19:30 WAT). Sivasspor are 18th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Manisa F.K. sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sivasspor's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Kayserispor 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Manisa F.K.'s last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Vanspor FK 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manisa F.K. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Sivasspor and 1.0 for Manisa F.K.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sivasspor 55%, draw 20%, Manisa F.K. 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Sivasspor to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sivasspor 1–1 Manisa F.K.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sivasspor55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.45
Manisa F.K.25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
2.62Expected goals
1.65Sivasspor xG
0.98Manisa F.K. xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 1.6 – 1.0 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sivasspor to win✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sivasspor / FT Sivasspor✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
Sivasspor – last 6
LDWLLW
16 Aug
@ Kayserispor
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Iğdır FK
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Çorum FK
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs İstanbulspor
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
WWWLWW
15 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
4–1
W
7 Aug
@ Boluspor
2–1
W
1 May
vs Sakaryaspor
5–0
W
26 Apr
@ Keçiörengücü
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Serik Spor
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Vanspor FK
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manisa F.K. 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
