Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor preview and prediction
The match
Fatih Karagümrük host Bursaspor in the 1. Lig on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Atatürk Olympic Stadium. Fatih Karagümrük are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Bursaspor sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Ümraniyespor 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bursaspor's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Iğdır FK 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bursaspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.1 for Bursaspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fatih Karagümrük 32%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Bursaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fatih Karagümrük32%fair 3.15 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Bursaspor47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
2.00Expected goals
0.85Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.15Bursaspor xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 0.9 – 1.1 Bursaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bursaspor to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bursaspor / FT Bursaspor✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.15
–
Form
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WLDLWL
15 Aug
vs Ümraniyespor
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Konyaspor
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Rizespor
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Kayserispor
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bursaspor – last 6
WWDWWD
15 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Somaspor
5–1
W
12 Apr
@ Ankara Demirspor
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Bursaspor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bursaspor 47%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Bursaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Bursaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
