Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFatih Karagümrük to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceFatih Karagümrük or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.40
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor preview and prediction
The match
Fatih Karagümrük host Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Atatürk Olympic Stadium. Fatih Karagümrük are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ümraniyespor sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Iğdır FK 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ümraniyespor's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Mardin 1969 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.4 for Ümraniyespor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fatih Karagümrük 62%, draw 21%, Ümraniyespor 17%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Ümraniyespor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fatih Karagümrük62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Ümraniyespor17%fair 5.95 · @4.60
1.74Expected goals
1.30Fatih Karagümrük xG
0.44Ümraniyespor xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.3 – 0.4 Ümraniyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fatih Karagümrük to win✓
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Fatih Karagümrük or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fatih Karagümrük / FT Fatih Karagümrük✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.40
–
Form
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LDLWLW
9 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Konyaspor
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Rizespor
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Kayserispor
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Fenerbahçe
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ümraniyespor – last 6
DLLDWL
8 Aug
vs Mardin 1969
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Galatasaray
1–5
L
19 Apr
vs Vanspor FK
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Amed
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Sakaryaspor
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Ümraniyespor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ümraniyespor 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Ümraniyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
