Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✗65% · @1.77
Double chanceEsenler Erokspor or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.53
Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer preview and prediction
The match
Esenler Erokspor host Sarıyer in the 1. Lig on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Esenler Stadium. Esenler Erokspor are 10th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Sarıyer sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Sivasspor 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sarıyer's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Muğlaspor 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarıyer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Sarıyer 1–0 Esenler Erokspor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Esenler Erokspor and 0.4 for Sarıyer. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Safer route: Esenler Erokspor or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1–0 Sarıyer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esenler Erokspor65%fair 1.55 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.45
Sarıyer14%fair 7.38 · @4.00
1.87Expected goals
1.44Esenler Erokspor xG
0.44Sarıyer xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 1.4 – 0.4 Sarıyer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarıyer 14%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–0 Sarıyer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?
Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer (1. Lig) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
