Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Fylde to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch preview and prediction
The match
AFC Hornchurch travel to Mill Farm in the National League on Friday 30 October (20:45 WAT) to face AFC Fylde. AFC Fylde are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while AFC Hornchurch sit 15th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AFC Fylde's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hartlepool 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AFC Hornchurch's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Yeovil Town 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for AFC Fylde and 1.1 for AFC Hornchurch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Fylde 59%, draw 19%, AFC Hornchurch 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Fylde to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Fylde 2–1 AFC Hornchurch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Fylde59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.75
AFC Hornchurch22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
1.94AFC Fylde xG
1.06AFC Hornchurch xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 1.9 – 1.1 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Fylde to win✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
AFC Fylde ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
AFC Fylde – last 6
WLWWLL
27 Oct
vs Hartlepool
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Boreham Wood
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Atherton Collieries
5–0
W
10 Oct
vs Scunthorpe
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Southend
1–3
L
29 Sep
vs Carlisle
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
LLWWDL
27 Oct
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Hartlepool
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Uxbridge
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Eastleigh
2–0
W
6 Oct
vs Fulham U21
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Harrogate Town
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is AFC Fylde to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Hornchurch 22%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is AFC Fylde 2–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch?
AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
