Southend travel to Sussex Transport Community Stadium in the National League on Tuesday 27 October (20:45 WAT) to face Worthing. Worthing are 6th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Southend sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Worthing's last 5: W-L-L-W-W. Most recently they beat Kidderminster Harriers 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Southend's last 5: D-L-W-W-D. Most recently they drew with FC Halifax Town 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Worthing and 1.8 for Southend. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Worthing 1–1 Southend. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Worthing40%fair 2.52 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Southend39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
3.64Expected goals
1.83Worthing xG
1.81Southend xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Worthing 1.8 – 1.8 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Worthing to win✗
40%
2.52
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Worthing / FT Worthing✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.60
–
Form
Worthing – last 6
WLLWWD
24 Oct
@ Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Wealdstone
0–3
L
13 Oct
vs Ipswich Town U21
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Solihull Moors
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ Gateshead
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Yeovil Town
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
DLWWDL
24 Oct
vs FC Halifax Town
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Berkhamsted
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Boston United
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs AFC Fylde
3–1
W
30 Sep
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Barrow
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Southend.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Worthing vs Southend?
On our numbers Worthing have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southend 39%.
How many goals will there be in Worthing vs Southend?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Worthing vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Worthing 1–1 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Worthing vs Southend?
Worthing vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
