National League · England · Mill FarmAFC Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction & analysis
AFC Fylde or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: AFC Fylde to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Fylde 2.0 – 0.8 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AFC Fylde are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 15% for Hartlepool.
AFC Fylde have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Hartlepool have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for AFC Fylde, 0.8 for Hartlepool). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is AFC Fylde or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.18. For a bigger price, AFC Fylde to win at 1.70 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AFC Fylde to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | AFC Fylde or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | AFC Fylde ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.50 | – |
Form
AFC Fylde – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Boreham Wood | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Atherton Collieries | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Scunthorpe | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Southend | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Carlisle | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Boston United | 1–0 | W |
Hartlepool – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs AFC Hornchurch | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Marine | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Newcastle United U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Forest Green | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Tamworth | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Harrogate Town | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Fylde and Hartlepool.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is AFC Fylde or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers AFC Fylde have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hartlepool 15%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool?
AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mill Farm.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.