National League · England · Victoria ParkHartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: AFC Hornchurch to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.3 – 1.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hartlepool hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for AFC Hornchurch.
Hartlepool have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. AFC Hornchurch have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. AFC Hornchurch come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Hartlepool, 1.2 for AFC Hornchurch). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.68. For a bigger price, AFC Hornchurch to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hartlepool to win ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool ✗ | 24% | 4.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.11 | – |
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Marine | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Newcastle United U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Forest Green | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Tamworth | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Harrogate Town | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Scunthorpe | 1–4 | L |
AFC Hornchurch – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Uxbridge | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Eastleigh | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Fulham U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Harrogate Town | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Aldershot Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Altrincham | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and AFC Hornchurch.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AFC Hornchurch 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch?
Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch (National League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.