National League · England · Exercise StadiumHarrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction & analysis
Harrogate Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.0 – 1.0 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Harrogate Town are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Sutton Utd.
Harrogate Town have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Sutton Utd have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Harrogate Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Harrogate Town, 1.0 for Sutton Utd). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Harrogate Town to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Harrogate Town to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Harrogate Town or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Harrogate Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.57 | – |
Form
Harrogate Town – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Bury | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Bury | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Woking | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs AFC Hornchurch | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Hartlepool | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Eastleigh | 4–1 | W |
Sutton Utd – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Truro City | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Boreham Wood | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Kidderminster Harriers | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Tamworth | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Forest Green | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Sutton Utd.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?
Our pick is Harrogate Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sutton Utd 16%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd?
Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd (National League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.