Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Boreham Wood to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoreham Wood to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceBoreham Wood or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓11% · fair 9.10
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood preview and prediction
The match
Boreham Wood travel to VBS Community Stadium in the National League on Friday 9 October (19:45 WAT) to face Sutton Utd. Sutton Utd are 11th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Boreham Wood sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sutton Utd's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Boreham Wood's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Altrincham 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Boreham Wood arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Sutton Utd and 2.2 for Boreham Wood. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Boreham Wood to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boreham Wood or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sutton Utd 0–2 Boreham Wood. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sutton Utd12%fair 8.53 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
Boreham Wood66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
3.13Expected goals
0.89Sutton Utd xG
2.24Boreham Wood xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 0.9 – 2.2 Boreham Wood expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boreham Wood to win✓
66%
1.51
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Boreham Wood or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Boreham Wood ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boreham Wood / FT Boreham Wood✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
11%
9.10
–
Form
Sutton Utd – last 6
DLDDWL
3 Oct
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
30 Sep
@ Tamworth
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Forest Green
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Eastleigh
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Scunthorpe
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Boreham Wood – last 6
WWWDWW
3 Oct
vs Altrincham
3–1
W
29 Sep
vs Kidderminster Harriers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs Everton U21
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
4–1
W
16 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Boreham Wood.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Our pick is Boreham Wood or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boreham Wood 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 0–2 Boreham Wood, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood?
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood (National League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
