Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Southend vs Tamworth preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Southend take on Tamworth on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Roots Hall. Southend are 3rd with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Tamworth sit 20th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Southend's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Carlisle 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tamworth's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Harrogate Town 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Southend arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Southend and 1.4 for Tamworth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Southend 2–1 Tamworth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southend62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.00
Tamworth19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
4.00Expected goals
2.59Southend xG
1.41Tamworth xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Southend 2.6 – 1.4 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Southend – last 6
DWDLWW
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Woking
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Kidderminster Harriers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tamworth – last 6
LLDLWL
12 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Boston United
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Worthing
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Tamworth.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Southend vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Southend have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tamworth 19%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Tamworth?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Tamworth?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 Tamworth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Tamworth?
Southend vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
