National League · England · Sussex Transport Community StadiumWorthing vs Barrow prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Worthing 1.6 – 1.7 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Worthing and Barrow on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Worthing have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Barrow have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Worthing, 1.7 for Barrow). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barrow to win ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barrow / FT Barrow ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.85 | – |
Form
Worthing – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Norwich City U21 | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ AFC Fylde | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Boreham Wood | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Tamworth | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Wealdstone | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs West Ham United U21 | 1–2 | L |
Barrow – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Sutton Utd | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Kidderminster Harriers | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Yeovil Town | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Harrogate Town | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs AFC Hornchurch | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Hartlepool | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Barrow.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Worthing vs Barrow?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Worthing vs Barrow?
On our numbers Worthing have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barrow 40%.
How many goals will there be in Worthing vs Barrow?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Worthing vs Barrow?
Worthing vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.