National League · England · Exercise StadiumHarrogate Town vs Tamworth prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.7 – 1.7 Tamworth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Harrogate Town are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 25% for Tamworth.
Harrogate Town have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Tamworth have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.8 conceded. Harrogate Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.3 goals (2.7 for Harrogate Town, 1.7 for Tamworth). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Harrogate Town to win ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.08 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Half-time result | Harrogate Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✓ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.87 | – |
Form
Harrogate Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Scunthorpe | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Gateshead | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Aldershot Town | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Barrow | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Wealdstone | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Solihull Moors | 5–2 | W |
Tamworth – last 6
| 9 Sep | vs Middlesbrough U21 | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Boston United | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Yeovil Town | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Worthing | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ FC Halifax Town | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs Newcastle United U21 | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Tamworth.
National League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | -25 | 4 |
More National League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tamworth 25%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Harrogate Town vs Tamworth?
Harrogate Town vs Tamworth (National League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.