Value bet: Kidderminster Harriers to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKidderminster Harriers to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool preview and prediction
The match
Hartlepool travel to Aggborough Stadium in the National League on Friday 11 September (19:45 WAT) to face Kidderminster Harriers. Kidderminster Harriers are 13th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Hartlepool sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kidderminster Harriers's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Wealdstone 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hartlepool's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Everton U21 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kidderminster Harriers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.9 for Hartlepool. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Kidderminster Harriers to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Hartlepool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kidderminster Harriers47%fair 2.12 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Hartlepool30%fair 3.28 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.25Kidderminster Harriers xG
0.92Hartlepool xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kidderminster Harriers 1.3 – 0.9 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kidderminster Harriers to win✓
47%
2.12
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kidderminster Harriers / FT Kidderminster Harriers✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Kidderminster Harriers – last 6
WDWDWL
5 Sep
@ Wealdstone
4–1
W
31 Aug
vs Barrow
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Southend
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Eastleigh
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Hornchurch
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 6
LWLLLW
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Eastleigh
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kidderminster Harriers and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Kidderminster Harriers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hartlepool 30%.
How many goals will there be in Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Aggborough Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
