Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe preview and prediction
The match
Scunthorpe travel to Brunton Park in the National League on Monday 31 August (15:00 WAT) to face Carlisle. Carlisle are 8th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Scunthorpe sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Carlisle's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Wealdstone 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Scunthorpe's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Solihull Moors 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Carlisle and 1.0 for Scunthorpe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Carlisle to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Carlisle or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Carlisle 2–0 Scunthorpe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlisle66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Scunthorpe13%fair 7.72 · @4.33
3.25Expected goals
2.29Carlisle xG
0.96Scunthorpe xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.3 – 1.0 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✓
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Carlisle – last 6
DWDLWL
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Worthing
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Derby County U21
3–0
W
28 Jul
vs Salford City
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Scunthorpe – last 6
WLWLDD
28 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Eastleigh
2–3
L
18 Aug
vs Stoke City U21
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Southend
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Scunthorpe.
What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Scunthorpe 13%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–0 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
