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Friendlies Clubs · World

Merthyr Town

LDWWL
3–0
FT

Briton Ferry

WLWWW

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Briton Ferry to win @ 4.20 – our chance 52% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +119%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBriton Ferry to win ✗52% · @4.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry preview and prediction

The match

Merthyr Town host Briton Ferry in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 21 July, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).

Form guide

Merthyr Town's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Forest Green 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Briton Ferry's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Cardiff MET 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Briton Ferry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.7 for Merthyr Town and 2.2 for Briton Ferry. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Merthyr Town 1–2 Briton Ferry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Merthyr Town32%fair 3.16 · @1.53
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @4.50
Briton Ferry52%fair 1.92 · @4.20
3.91Expected goals
1.69Merthyr Town xG
2.22Briton Ferry xG
58%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.7 – 2.2 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBriton Ferry to win ✗52%1.924.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.19–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultBriton Ferry ahead at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Briton Ferry / FT Briton Ferry ✗32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.97–

Form

Merthyr Town – last 6

LDWWLD
18 Julvs Forest Green1–2L
14 Julvs Yeovil Town2–2D
10 Julvs Cambrian & Clydach4–2W
14 Apr@ Marine3–1W
6 Apr@ Hereford0–3L
3 Aprvs Oxford City1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Briton Ferry – last 5

WLWWW
3 Aprvs Cardiff MET3–1W
28 Mar@ Haverfordwest County AFC0–1L
16 Mar@ Cardiff MET2–0W
13 Mar@ llanelli AFC2–0W
21 Febvs Bala Town2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Briton Ferry.

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry?

On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Briton Ferry 52%.

How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry?

Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–2 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry?

Merthyr Town vs Briton Ferry (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.