Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Alanyaspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlanyaspor to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceAlanyaspor or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.53
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor preview and prediction
The match
Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Alanya Oba Stadium. Alanyaspor are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Kocaelispor sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alanyaspor's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Fenerbahçe 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kocaelispor's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Göztepe 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Alanyaspor and 0.6 for Kocaelispor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Alanyaspor to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alanyaspor or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alanyaspor62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.10
Kocaelispor17%fair 5.89 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.52Alanyaspor xG
0.61Kocaelispor xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.5 – 0.6 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Alanyaspor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
