Süper Lig · Turkey · Samsun 19 Mayis StadyumuSamsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Trabzonspor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.1 – 1.9 Trabzonspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Trabzonspor shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 23% for Samsunspor.
Samsunspor have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Trabzonspor have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 for Samsunspor, 1.9 for Trabzonspor). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.57. For a bigger price, Trabzonspor to win at 1.91 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Trabzonspor to win ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Trabzonspor ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Trabzonspor / FT Trabzonspor ✓ | 35% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.14 | – |
Form
Samsunspor – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Erzurumspor FK | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Çorum FK | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Kocaelispor | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Fenerbahçe | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Rizespor | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Göztepe | 3–3 | D |
Trabzonspor – last 6
| 1 Oct | vs Drogheda United | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Amed | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | @ Ferencvarosi TC | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More Süper Lig predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trabzonspor 56%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.