Süper Lig · Turkey · Alanya Oba StadiumAlanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction & analysis
Alanyaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alanyaspor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.6 – 0.7 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alanyaspor hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Erzurumspor FK.
Alanyaspor have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Erzurumspor FK have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Alanyaspor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for Alanyaspor, 0.7 for Erzurumspor FK). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Alanyaspor or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Alanyaspor to win at 1.85 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alanyaspor to win ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Alanyaspor or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor ✗ | 35% | 2.82 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.44 | – |
Form
Alanyaspor – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Çorum FK | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Göztepe | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Rizespor | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Eyüpspor | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Beşiktaş | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Gaziantep FK | 1–1 | D |
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Samsunspor | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Beşiktaş | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Konyaspor | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Galatasaray | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Amed | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More Süper Lig predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Alanyaspor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Erzurumspor FK 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.