Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Beşiktaş take on Kocaelispor on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tüpraş Stadyumu. Beşiktaş are 4th with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Kocaelispor sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Beşiktaş's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Amed 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Kocaelispor's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Gaziantep FK 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Beşiktaş and 0.7 for Kocaelispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beşiktaş 66%, draw 22%, Kocaelispor 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Beşiktaş to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Beşiktaş 1–0 Kocaelispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beşiktaş66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @5.50
Kocaelispor12%fair 8.20 · @10.00
2.67Expected goals
1.95Beşiktaş xG
0.72Kocaelispor xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 2.0 – 0.7 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
66%
1.52
1.25
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Beşiktaş – last 6
LWWWWL
20 Sep
@ Amed
2–3
L
17 Sep
vs Marseille
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kocaelispor – last 6
WLWWWL
19 Sep
vs Gaziantep FK
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Samsunspor
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Konyaspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Amed
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor.
What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Beşiktaş to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kocaelispor 12%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 1–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
