Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓68% · @1.22
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK preview and prediction
The match
Erzurumspor FK travel to Tüpraş Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Friday 11 September (18:00 WAT) to face Beşiktaş. Beşiktaş are 4th with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Erzurumspor FK sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Beşiktaş's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Fenerbahçe 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Konyaspor 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Beşiktaş arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Beşiktaş and 0.8 for Erzurumspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beşiktaş 68%, draw 20%, Erzurumspor FK 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Beşiktaş to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Beşiktaş 2–0 Erzurumspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beşiktaş68%fair 1.47 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @6.00
Erzurumspor FK12%fair 8.41 · @11.00
2.88Expected goals
2.11Beşiktaş xG
0.77Erzurumspor FK xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 2.1 – 0.8 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
68%
1.47
1.22
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Beşiktaş – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WDLLDD
5 Sep
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Galatasaray
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Beşiktaş to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Erzurumspor FK 12%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 2–0 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
