Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rizespor to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRizespor to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceRizespor or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor preview and prediction
The match
Alanyaspor travel to face Rizespor in the Süper Lig on Monday 7 September (18:00 WAT). Rizespor are 11th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Alanyaspor sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rizespor's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Gaziantep FK 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Alanyaspor's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Eyüpspor 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rizespor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Rizespor and 0.5 for Alanyaspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Rizespor to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rizespor or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rizespor 1–0 Alanyaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rizespor64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Alanyaspor15%fair 6.75 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.49Rizespor xG
0.51Alanyaspor xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rizespor 1.5 – 0.5 Alanyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizespor to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Rizespor or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rizespor / FT Rizespor✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.96
–
Form
Rizespor – last 6
WLWWDL
29 Aug
@ Gaziantep FK
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Samsunspor
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Konyaspor
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Pyramids FC
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Abha
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Hull City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alanyaspor – last 6
LWDLLL
30 Aug
@ Eyüpspor
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Beşiktaş
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Gaziantep FK
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Samsunspor
2–3
L
23 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Kasımpaşa
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizespor and Alanyaspor.
What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
Our pick is Rizespor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
On our numbers Rizespor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alanyaspor 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
Our predicted score is Rizespor 1–0 Alanyaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
